Arkansas Razorbacks vs Alabama Crimson Tide NCAA Football Odds
Thursday, September 22, 2011
by BetOnline Sportsbook
LSU and Alabama will likely be the SEC West game of the year. However, there are other showdowns in the most powerful division in college football betting. This is the first of them in 2011.
Why Arkansas Will Win
The ranks of NCAA Football betting experts know that some teams can turn to emergency relief pitchers and succeed, while other teams have to trust their number one guy. The Arkansas Razorbacks are a team that, under current head coach Bobby Petrino, can shift from one quarterback to another and not miss a beat. Beginning with his days as the head coach at Louisville, Petrino has crafted a well-established reputation for preparing all the quarterbacks on his roster. Last year at Auburn, starter Ryan Mallett got injured and Tyler Wilson had to take his place.
The development could have buried other teams, but Wilson stepped into the limelight and flourished, enabling Arkansas to score over 40 points against Auburn. Yes, Arkansas’ defense collapsed, allowing Auburn to score 65 points, but the fact remained that Wilson, as a backup coming into the game cold-turkey, was able to perform at a very high level. Wilson is now the starting quarterback for Arkansas in 2011, so one should expect him to be ready to meet the moment. Petrino’s number-one strength as a coach is his preparation of quarterbacks for games like this. If Wilson demonstrates mastery of the quarterback position against a fire-breathing Alabama defense that will be looking to knock his block off, the Razorbacks will have an excellent chance to not only stay close, but win, in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.
Why Alabama Will Win
When you pore over the details attached to this duel and consider your sports bet on Razorbacks-Tide, you need to realize a few things. First, neither one of these teams has been particularly tested through three weeks. Arkansas has played Missouri State, New Mexico, and Troy. Alabama, for its part, has played Kent State, Penn State (not the Penn State of yesteryear), and North Texas.
Yet, while both squads have played cupcake-rich schedules, Alabama has been focused and firm in dispatching its three foes. Arkansas, however, wobbled against Troy in a 38-28 win that left a lot of people uncomfortable in the Ozarks. Arkansas seems to be drifting through its schedule while Bama is plowing through it. The Crimson Tide might be facing second-tier foes, but they have established the second-best pass defense in the country, according to NCAA rankings and measurements. The Tide, expertly coached on the defensive side of the ball by head man Nick Saban and coordinator Kirby Smart, have allowed just 18 total points this season, but what’s more impressive is that they’re conceding a completion rate of just 38 percent from opposing quarterbacks. Tyler Wilson is much better than any signal caller Alabama has faced this season, but the Tide have been so authoritative on defense that they’ll make it hard for Wilson to play anywhere near his best. That should give Alabama the push it needs to win this game comfortably.
Who Will Win
There’s no mystery to this game: Alabama’s defense will punch Tyler Wilson in the mouth from start to finish. The result will be a bloodbath that will leave Arkansas in tatters. Arkansas will be without star running back Knile Davis (injured for the season in August training camp), and it’s that key detail which will loom large over the proceedings this weekend at Bryant-Denny Stadium.